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National Youth Gang Survey Analysis: Measuring the Extent of Gang Problems

Description

Measuring the Extent of Gang Problems

Estimated Number of Gangs

Respondents provided information regarding the number of active gangs in their jurisdictions during each survey year.

  • Over the past decade, annual estimates of the number of gangs have averaged around 27,000 nationally.
  • Following a yearly decline from 1996 to a low in 2003, annual estimates steadily increased through 2012.
  • The most recent estimate of more than 30,000 gangs represents a 15 percent increase from 2006 and is the highest annual estimate since 1996.
a vertical bar chart displaying data for the estimated number of gangs between the years of 1996 and 2012
Estimated Number of Gangs, 1996–2012
Year Estimated Number of Gangs
1996 30,800
1997 30,500
1998 28,700
1999 26,200
2000 24,700
2001 23,500
2002 21,800
2003 20,100
2004 24,000
2005 26,700
2006 26,700
2007 27,300
2008 27,900
2009 28,100
2010 29,400
2011 29,900
2012 30,700

Distribution of Gangs by Area Type

The distribution of gangs by area type is presented.

  • Larger cities and suburban counties remain the primary locations of gangs, accounting for roughly two-thirds nationwide.
  • Smaller cities account for just 27 percent, and rural counties account for just over 5 percent.
a pie chart displaying data for the distribution of gangs by area type
Distribution of Gangs by Area Type
  Percent
Larger Cities 41.6%
Suburban Counties 25.8%
Smaller Cities 27.1%
Rural Counties 5.5%

Number of Gangs by Area Type

The annual maximum number of gangs reported since 2006 is displayed by area type.

  • While larger cities and suburban counties expectedly report higher numbers of gangs, there is also considerable variation within each area type.
  • More than half of suburban counties and 45 percent of larger cities report 10 or fewer active gangs in their jurisdictions.
  • A majority of agencies in smaller cities and rural counties report fewer than five gangs.
Annual Maximum Number of Gangs, 2006–2012
Number of Gangs Larger Cities Suburban Counties Smaller Cities Rural Counties
No Data Reported 2.6% 8.6% 6.5% 12.3%
Fewer than 5 13.7% 26.4% 53.8% 55.8%
5–10 31.5% 24.8% 30.2% 23.9%
11–25 25.5% 21.5% 8.8% 8.0%
More than 25 26.7% 18.6% 0.8% 0.0%

Analysis for this section pertains only to law enforcement agencies reporting gang problems. Please see the Prevalence of Gang Problems section.

    Estimated Number of Gang Members

    Respondents provided information regarding the number of active gang members in their jurisdictions during each survey year.

    • Over the past decade, annual estimates of the number of gang members have averaged around 770,000 nationally.
    • The most recent estimate of approximately 850,000 gang members represents an 8.6 percent increase over the previous year.
    a vertical bar chart displaying data for the estimated number of gang members between the years of 1996 and 2012

    Estimated Number
    of Gang Members,
    1996–2012

    Year Estimated Number
    of Gang Members
    1996 846,500
    1997 816,000
    1998 780,000
    1999 840,500
    2000 772,500
    2001 693,500
    2002 731,500
    2003 710,500
    2004 760,000
    2005 789,500
    2006 785,000
    2007 788,000
    2008 774,000
    2009 731,000
    2010 756,000
    2011 782,500
    2012 850,000

    Distribution of Gang Members by Area Type

    The distribution of gang members by area type is presented.

    • Larger cities and suburban counties remain the primary locations of gang members, accounting for more than 80 percent nationwide.
    • Smaller cities account for approximately 16 percent of gang members, and rural counties account for less than 3 percent.
    a pie chart displaying data for the distribution of gang members by area type
    Distribution of Gang Members by Area Type
      Percent
    Rural Counties 2.7%
    Smaller Cities 15.6%
    Suburban Counties 24.4%
    Larger Cities 57.3%

    Number of Gang Members by Area Type

    The annual maximum number of gang members reported since 2006 is displayed by area type.

    • While larger cities and suburban counties expectedly report higher numbers of gang members, there is also a vast amount of variation within each area type.
    • Nearly one in five larger cities reported more than 1,000 gang members, compared with about one in ten suburban counties.
    • Approximately one-quarter of the smaller cities and rural counties reported fewer than 25 gang members—the most frequent response among both groups.
    • Compared with larger cities, the remaining three area types were significantly more likely to be uncertain of the number of local gang members, indicated by higher proportions of “no data reported.”
    Annual Maximum Number of Gang Members, 2006–2012
    Number of Gang Members Larger Cities Suburban Counties Smaller Cities Rural Counties
    No Data Reported 6.0% 23.0% 19.5% 26.1%
    Fewer than 25 6.7% 15.8% 28.2% 27.5%
    25–50 7.2% 11.5% 26.3% 23.2%
    51–100 12.1% 9.8% 11.5% 9.4%
    101–250 19.5% 11.1% 9.5% 10.1%
    251–500 16.5% 11.7% 4.2% 3.6%
    501–1,000 13.0% 6.8% 0.8% 0.0%
    1,001–2,500 10.4% 5.7% 0.0% 0.0%
    More than 2,500 8.6% 4.7% 0.0% 0.0%

    Analysis for this section pertains only to law enforcement agencies reporting gang problems. Please see the Prevalence of Gang Problems section.

    Number of Gang-Related Homicides*

    *Because of the many issues surrounding the maintenance and collection of gang-crime data, caution is urged when interpreting the results presented below. For more information regarding this issue, see: https://nationalgangcenter.ojp.gov/about/faq#faq-5-how-are-gang-crimes-especially-gang-related.

    The number of gang-related homicides reported from 2007 to 2012 is displayed by area type and population size.

    • From 2007 through 2012, a sizeable majority (more than 80 percent) of respondents provided data on gang-related homicides in their jurisdictions.
    • The total number of gang homicides reported by respondents in the NYGS sample averaged nearly 2,000 annually from 2007 to 2012. During roughly the same time period (2007 to 2011), the FBI estimated, on average, more than 15,500 homicides across the United States (www.fbi.gov/about-us/cjis/ucr/crime-in-the-u.s/2011/crime-in-the-u.s.-2011/tables/table-1). These estimates suggest that gang-related homicides typically accounted for around 13 percent of all homicides annually.
    • Highly populated areas accounted for the vast majority of gang homicides: nearly 67 percent occurred in cities with populations over 100,000, and 17 percent occurred in suburban counties in 2012.
    • The number of gang-related homicides decreased 2 percent from 2010 to 2011 and then increased by 28 percent from 2011 to 2012 in cities with populations over 100,000.
    • In a typical year in the so-called “gang capitals” of Chicago and Los Angeles, around half of all homicides are gang-related; these two cities alone accounted for approximately one in four gang homicides recorded in the NYGS from 2011 to 2012.
    • Among agencies serving rural counties and smaller cities that reported gang activity, around 75 percent reported zero gang-related homicides. Five percent or less of all gang homicides occurred in these areas annually.
    • Overall, these results demonstrate conclusively that gang violence is greatly concentrated in the largest cities across the United States.
    Number of Gang-Related Homicides*
      2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Percent Change, Previous 5-Year Average to 2012
    N

    % Total

    N

    % Total

    N

    % Total

    N

    % Total

    N

    % Total

    N

    % Total

     
    Agencies Reporting Gang Activity 992 921 1,050 1,026 928 999
    Agencies Reporting Gang Homicide Statistics 890 768 910 860 739 829
    Coverage Rate(%) 89.7% 83.4% 86.7% 83.8% 79.6% 83.0%
    Total Gang Homicides 1,975 100.0% 1,659 100.0% 2,083 100.0% 2,020 100.0% 1,824 100.0% 2,363 100.0% 23.6
    Cities With Populations Over 100,000 1,215 61.5% 1,022 61.6% 1,123 53.9% 1,272 63.0% 1,242 68.1% 1,587 67.2% 35.1
    Suburban Counties 477 24.2% 357 21.5% 597 28.7% 439 21.7% 338 18.5% 408 17.3% -7.6
    Cities With Populations of 50,000–100,000 215 10.9% 204 12.3% 274 13.2% 209 10.3% 198 10.9% 255 10.8% 15.9
    Smaller Areas 68 3.4% 76 4.6% 89 4.3% 100 5.0% 46 2.5% 113 4.8% **

    Notes: **Not presented because of small base rate. “Smaller Areas” refers to all cities with populations below 50,000 and rural counties combined.

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    Suggested citation: National Gang Center. National Youth Gang Survey Analysis.
    Retrieved [date] from https://nationalgangcenter.ojp.gov/survey-analysis.